The No. 2 seed Arkansas Razorbacks (21-5) are favored by when they play the No. 7 seed Missouri Tigers (16-8) in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals Friday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7:00 PM ET on SECN. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the SEC championship.
The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 12, 2021, 1:10 PM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting Odds
Arkansas Betting Information
- The Razorbacks have compiled a 17-8 record against the spread this season.
- The Razorbacks have a winning record against the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more, going 10-5 this season.
- In 60% of their games this season (15/25), the Razorbacks and their opponents have outscored the set over/under.
- The Razorbacks knocked off Texas A&M 87-80 but failed to cover the spread as 14.5-point favorites, while going over the 137 point total in their last outing on Saturday. Moses Moody totaled a team-high 28 points in the victory.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Arkansas Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody | 26 | 17.5 | 5.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| JD Notae | 26 | 12.9 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Justin Smith | 22 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Jalen Tate | 26 | 10.9 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Desi Sills | 26 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
Missouri Betting Information
- Missouri has met expectations of oddsmakers this season with an even 12-12 record ATS.
- When they play as at least a 5.5-point underdog, the Tigers tend to fail to meet expectations with only a 2-4 record against the spread.
- Missouri and its opponents have often covered the total points bet this season, doing so in 58.3% (14) of its 24 games played.
- In their last game, the Tigers got a team-high 17 points from Xavier Pinson on the way to a 73-70 win against Georgia on Thursday. They were favored by 6.5 points and failed to covered the spread, and the teams combined to score 143 points to go under the 153 point total.
Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.
Missouri Players to Watch
| Name | GP | PTS | REB | ASST | STL | BLK | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dru Smith | 24 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| Xavier Pinson | 24 | 14.1 | 2.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| Jeremiah Tilmon | 22 | 12.4 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Mark Smith | 24 | 9.8 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.5 |
| Kobe Brown | 24 | 8.1 | 6.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Total Facts
- Arkansas’ games this season have gone over the point total for Friday’s matchup (149 points) in 17 out of 26 opportunities (65.4% of matchups).
- In 11 out of Missouri’s 24 games this season (45.8%), the competing teams combined for more points than the point total in Friday’s matchup.
- The Razorbacks average 83.3 points per game against the Tigers’ 74, totaling 8.3 points over the contest’s over/under of 149.
- This game’s over/under is 6.3 more points than the 142.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
- The Razorbacks have seen a 154 average over/under in their games this season, five points more than the over/under in this contest.
- Tigers games have an over/under of 146 points this season, three points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.
Head to Head
| Date | Favorite | Home Team | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Game Type | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/13/2021 | Missouri | Missouri | -2.5 | 150.5 | -143 | +119 | Regular Season | 86-81 ARK |
| 1/2/2021 | Arkansas | Arkansas | -6.5 | 148.5 | -284 | +231 | Regular Season | 81-68 MIZZOU |
| 2/22/2020 | Arkansas | Arkansas | -6.5 | 136 | -299 | +233 | Regular Season | 78-68 ARK |
| 2/8/2020 | Arkansas | Missouri | -2.5 | 131 | N/A | N/A | Regular Season | 83-79 MIZZOU |
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