Anytime Touchdown Odds & Picks For Commanders At Eagles: Saquon Barkley To Score TNF ATD?

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Anytime Touchdown Odds

To kick off the NFL Week 11 odds board, the 7-2 Philadelphia Eagles renew their NFC East rivalry against the 7-3 Washington Commanders at Lincoln Financial Field. The Eagles are Philadelphia Eagles -8 (-110) favorites in this critical tilt, and the total is 40.5 (-110). Let’s examine my favorite anytime touchdown odds at bet365 Sportsbook.

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Thursday night football: Anytime Touchdown Odds

First TD Scorer Odds

eagles rb saquon barkley: Over -188 on Bet365

Even though Dan Quinn’s defense has turned a corner since Week 4, the Commanders rank 24th in EPA per carry allowed and 25th in run-stop win rate during this stretch. Enter Barkley, who has scored three total touchdowns in his last six games.

Barkley’s anytime touchdown odds don’t present a buy-low opportunity, but he would have a higher price tag if he consistently found paydirt in recent games. His 63.5% implied probability of scoring has barely budged from Week 6 onward.

In a plus matchup, the Eagles’ star tailback should accumulate his fair share of opportunities inside the red zone. Jalen Hurts is a threat to steal carries in short-yardage situations, but Barkley is still worth betting on with some pizza money.

commanders te zach ertz: Zach Ertz +965

Not only has the Eagles’ defense improved of late, but it is also tied for the sixth-fewest targets surrendered to tight ends this season. However, it’s been more vulnerable in the last three matchups, allowing nine targets per game. In Ertz’s return to Philly, I expect Jayden Daniels to take advantage of the middle of the field, where Philadelphia’s linebackers (re: Nakobe Dean) have struggled in coverage.

Ertz’s lone touchdown in 2024 came with Marcus Mariota under center. While I would not put more than couch change on this wager, Daniels and Ertz are set up nicely to hook up for their first score.

commanders at eagles: spread, moneyline, total

tnf Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Philadelphia Eagles
Ben VanSumeren LB Knee Out 21.4 VanSumeren is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least the next 4 games.
Brandon Graham DE Triceps Out 31.9 Graham has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Britain Covey WR Neck Questionable 13 Week 14
Bryce Huff DE Wrist Out 23 Huff underwent a wrist procedure and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Byron Young DT Hamstring Out 0 Young is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Dallas Goedert TE Knee Questionable 48.4 Week 14
Darius Slay Jr. CB Concussion Questionable 47.9 Week 14
DeVonta Smith WR Hamstring Questionable 62.6 Week 14
James Bradberry IV CB Lower Leg Out 0 Bradberry is dealing with a lower leg injury and has been placed on the injured reserves list. He will miss at least four games.
Johnny Wilson WR Hamstring Questionable 25.1 Week 14
Le’Raven Clark OT Undisclosed Out 0 Clark is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the entire 2024-25 season.
Reed Blankenship S Concussion Questionable 56.8 Week 14
Washington Commanders
Andrew Wylie G Concussion Questionable 68.8 Week 15
Austin Ekeler RB Concussion Out 39.3 Ekeler is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least the next 4 games.
Austin Seibert K Hip Out 11.8 Seibert is dealing with a hip injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Colson Yankoff TE Hamstring Out 17.8 Yankoff is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jamison Crowder WR Calf Out 7 Crowder is dealing with a calf injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jonathan Allen DT Pectoral Out 39.2 Allen suffered a torn pectoral and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Marshon Lattimore CB Hamstring Questionable 58.9 Week 15
Noah Brown WR Rib Questionable 41.5 Week 15
Norell Pollard DT Undisclosed Out 0 Pollard is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Photo by Associated Press/Charles Krupa

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