Anytime Touchdown Odds, Picks, Predictions For Bears At Lions: Thanksgiving ATD Longshots

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Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated
Anytime Touchdown Odds

To kick off Thanksgiving among the odds for NFL Week 13, the 9-2 Detroit Lions renew their NFC North rivalry with the 4-7 Chicago Bears at Ford Field. After covering against the Colts, the Super Bowl favorites are Detroit Lions -7 (-110) on the spread. The total is 45.5 (-110). Let’s examine my favorite anytime touchdown odds at bet365 Sportsbook.

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bears at lions: Anytime Touchdown Odds

Thanksgiving First TD Scorer Odds

bears wr rome odunze: Rome Odunze +775

You rarely see two running backs on the same team higher than -150 among the odds of an anytime touchdown. It’s the case for the Lions’ David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs. But I’m more intrigued by a couple of longshots, including Odunze.

Sportsbooks opened this point spread above double digits, and favorites of -10 or greater are 5-2 ATS this year. Even though Detroit has been a gravy train for bettors, its banged-up secondary is worrisome against Chicago’s rejuvenated passing game.

With that in mind, Odunze should feast on the outside in 11 personnel. He’s manufactured the team’s second-most targets (20) during its last two contests, correlating with the Bears handing off their offensive coordinator duties to Thomas Brown in lieu of Shane Waldron.

The Lions’ defense has received some positive fortune in the red zone, surrendering the second-lowest touchdown rate in the NFL.

In Week 12, Indianapolis settled for two field goals inside Detroit’s 10-yard line. In one instance, Colts tight end Alex Ogletree dropped a wide-open score. Whether Caleb Williams and Co. operate in a neutral state or face a substantial deficit, their most optimal path to success is attacking the Lions through the air.

Odunze should be one of the primary beneficiaries, particularly in the red zone. Consider wagering some pizza money on his ATTD odds.

bears te cole kmet: Cole Kmet +905

Like Odunze, Kmet’s ATD price tag makes for an alluring longshot wager on Turkey Day. He benefited heavily from Chicago’s negative game script in its overtime loss to Minnesota on Sunday, corralling 7-of-10 targets for 64 yards.

Granted, Kmet hasn’t found the end zone since the Bears demolished the Jaguars in Week 6, and the Lions allow the fewest receiving yards per game to the position. However, with Kmet’s target share slowly increasing, I’ll throw a small bet on him in what will likely evolve into a pass-heavy script for Chicago.

Related: Lions vs. Bears NFL SGP Picks

bears at lions: spread, moneyline, total

thanksgiving Injury Report

Player Pos Position Injury Status Snaps/g Snaps Per Game Comment
Chicago Bears
Andrew Billings DL Pectoral Out 41.3 Billings suffered a torn pectoral and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He is expected to miss the remainder of the 2024-2025 NFL season.
Bill Murray G Chest Out 14.3 Murray is dealing with a chest injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
DeAndre Carter WR Hamstring Out 19 Carter is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Elijah Hicks S Ankle Questionable 47.5 Week 15
Ian Wheeler RB Knee Out 0 Wheeler is dealing with a torn ACL and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Jaquan Brisker S Concussion Out 63 Brisker is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jaylon Jones CB Shoulder Out 27 Jones is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Nsimba Webster WR Groin Out 0 Webster is dealing with a groin injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Patrick Scales LS Back Out 0 Scales is dealing with a back injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Roschon Johnson RB Concussion Questionable 28.6 Week 15
Ryan Bates C Concussion Questionable 35 Week 15
Stephen Carlson TE Collarbone Out 0 Carlson is dealing with a collarbone injury and has been placed on the injured reserve. He will miss at least four games.
Tommy Sweeney TE Undisclosed Out 0 Sweeney, a practice squad player, is dealing with an undisclosed injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list.
Travis Homer RB Head Questionable 22.9 Week 15
Detroit Lions
Aidan Hutchinson DL Tibia Out 56.6 Hutchinson suffered a broken left tibia and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the regular season.
Alex Anzalone LB Forearm Out 60.8 Anzalone is dealing with a forearm injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Alim McNeill DL Concussion Probable 48.8 McNeill was a full participant in practice on Wednesday heading into Week 15 versus the Bills.
Antoine Green WR Concussion Out 0 Green is dealing with a concussion and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Connor Galvin OT Knee Out 0 Galvin is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
DJ Reader DT Shoulder Questionable 32.3 Reader did not practice on Wednesday heading into Week 15 versus the Bills.
David Bada DT Achilles Out 0 Bada is dealing with an Achilles injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Derrick Barnes LB Knee Out 49 Barnes is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CB Hamstring Out 17.6 Rakestraw Jr. is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least the next four games.
Ifeatu Melifonwu S Finger Out 0 Melifonwu is dealing with a finger injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Jalen Reeves-Maybin LB Neck Out 35.3 Reeves-Maybin is dealing with a neck injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
John Cominsky DL Knee Out 0 Cominsky is dealing with a knee injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Josh Paschal DL Knee Questionable 36.1 Paschal was limited in practice on Wednesday heading into Week 15 versus the Bills.
Kalif Raymond WR Foot Out 26.5 Raymond has suffered a foot injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Kyle Peko DT Pectoral Out 19 Peko is dealing with a torn pectoral and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss at least four games.
Levi Onwuzurike DL Hamstring Questionable 40.7 Onwuzurike was limited in practice on Wednesday heading into Week 15 versus the Bills.
Malcolm Rodriguez LB Knee Out 46 Rodriguez has been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss the remainder of the 2024-2025 season.
Marcus Davenport DL Elbow Out 49.5 Davenport suffered an elbow injury has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the remainder of the 2024-25 season.
Mekhi Wingo DT Knee Out 20 Wingo has been placed on the injured reserve list and will miss at least four games.
Michael Badgley K Hamstring Out 0 Badgley suffered a torn hamstring and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Nate Lynn DL Shoulder Out 0 Lynn is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Netane Muti G Shoulder Out 0 Muti is dealing with a shoulder injury and has been placed on the injured reserve list. He will miss the 2024-25 season.
Taylor Decker OT Knee Probable 61.2 Decker was a full participant in practice on Wednesday heading into Week 15 versus the Bills.
Photo by Associated Press/Rick Scuteri

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