Alabama vs UCLA March Madness Odds — Sweet 16 2021

Written By Staff on March 23, 2021 - Last Updated on March 25, 2021

A spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament will go to either the No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (24-6) or the No. 11 UCLA Bruins (17-9) when the teams meet in an East Region bracket matchup. Oddsmakers think Alabama will survive and advance, listing the Crimson Tide as favorites. The action starts at 7:15 PM ET on Sunday.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 23, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Alabama vs. UCLA Game Matchup

The underdog 11-seed UCLA is a better offensive team than 2-seed Alabama, but the Bruins will have to overcome the matchup issues. The strength of UCLA’s offense is in its three-point shooting. Mick Cronin’s bunch ranks 28th in three-point percentage, compared to just 90th for Alabama. Jaime Jacquez and Jules Bernard both shoot 40 percent from outside for the Bruins.

The issue for UCLA in the Sweet 16 is Alabama frustrates three-point shooters. The Crimson Tide ranks top 10 in three-point percentage defense. Bama also ranks top-20 in overall defensive efficiency and opponent effective field goal percentage.

On the other end of the court, Alabama only ranks 70th in overall offensive efficiency, but UCLA does not crack the top 150 in defensive efficiency.

This game is also a clash of style and tempo. Alabama wants to play fast. UCLA most certainly does not. UCLA ranks near 300th in possessions per game, with Alabama ranking 12th. If UCLA is to pull the upset, the Bruins will likely try to shorten the game and hold Alabama’s offense below season averages.

Alabama Betting Information

  • Alabama is over .500 against the spread this season with a record of 17-13-1.
  • The Crimson Tide are 10-6 against the spread in 2020-21 when they are at least a 6-point favorite.
  • In 48.4% of their games this season (15/31), the Crimson Tide and their opponents have outscored the set over/under.
  • The Crimson Tide knocked off Maryland 96-77 and covered the spread as 6-point favorites, while going over the 138.5 point total in their last contest on Monday. Jaden Shackelford put up a team-high 21 points in the victory.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Alabama Players to Watch

Jaden Shackelford 32 14.3 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.1 2.0
Jahvon Quinerly 29 12.7 2.1 3.2 0.7 0.0 1.7
John Petty 30 12.5 5.1 1.9 1.3 0.5 2.5
Herbert Jones 32 11.3 6.5 3.3 1.8 1.1 0.6
Joshua Primo 29 8.2 3.4 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5
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UCLA Betting Information

  • In their games this season, the Bruins have come up with an even record of 14-14 ATS.
  • For the 11th time this season, the Bruins are at least a 6-point underdog, where they have a record of 3-7 against the spread.
  • 16 of UCLA’s 28 games (57.1%) this season have been over the over/under.
  • In the Bruins most recent game on Monday, Johnny Juzang scored a team-high 17 points on the way to a 67-47 win over Abilene Christian. They were favored by 5.5 points and covered the spread, and the teams combined to score 114 points to go under the 132.5 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

UCLA Players to Watch

Johnny Juzang 24 15.1 4.1 1.7 0.7 0.4 2.0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 29 12.2 6.1 1.5 1.1 0.7 1.1
Jules Bernard 29 10.4 5.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 1.1
Tyger Campbell 29 10.1 2.1 5.4 1.0 0.0 0.6
Cody Riley 28 10.0 5.4 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.0

Total Facts

  • Alabama and its opponents have gone over Sunday’s 138.5 total in 21 out of 32 games (65.6%) this season.
  • 14 UCLA games this year (48.3% of its matchups) finished with a final score greater than Sunday’s total of 138.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 152.8 points per game, 14.3 points more than the point total of 138.5 for this matchup.
  • The 137.4 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 1.1 fewer than the 138.5 total in this contest.
  • On average, the Crimson Tide have seen a 149.2 over/under in their games this season, 10.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Bruins games have a total points bet of 141 points this season, 2.5 points more than the over/under for this contest.

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