March Madness Futures Liability: Tide On Top Before Sweet 16

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 24, 2023
March Madness Futures

With the Sweet 16 underway, let’s break down the March Madness futures liability at BetMGM Sportsbook. To no one’s surprise, Alabama — the No. 1 overall seed in the 2023 NCAA Tournament — is ahead of the pack. Click on any of the figures below to place a bet on March Madness odds.

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March Madness Futures

Over at BetMGM, the Crimson Tide tipped off the 2022-23 campaign at around +4000. They’re priced at +350 (as of Thursday morning), accruing 14.7% of the overall handle and 10.9% of the tickets, respectively.

Nate Oats last guided Alabama to the Sweet 16 in 2021, falling to the eventual regional winner UCLA. That run marked the beginning of the Bruins’ national ascendence under Mick Cronin, as his team entered the Big Dance as a No. 11 seed.

This time around, Oats’ roster is constructed a bit differently, possessing the third-rated recruiting class. Five-star wing Brandon Miller represents driving force behind it, tallying a team-high in points (19.1) and boards (8.2) per game, along with the 6-foot-10 Noah Clowney.

However, Miller’s groin injury is worth noting. He didn’t score in the Tide’s first-round contest before tallying 19 points against Maryland — via 5-of-17 shooting (29.4%) from the field.

Per KenPom, Alabama has manufactured the second-best adjusted efficiency margin (AdjEM). Oats’ bunch is in for an arduous test against San Diego State’s elite defense on Friday. It’s a spread favorite versus the five-seed Aztecs.

More March Madness Futures Liability

Among the teams left in the field, fellow one-seed Houston (+400) follows suit in regards to March Madness futures liability. The Cougars have netted 9% of the handle, as well as 7.2% of the tickets. They opened the season at +1000.

Kelvin Sampson’s unit is the lone program that ranks ahead of the Tide in AdjEM. Marcus Sasser and Jamal Shead, both dealing with their respective injuries, are expected to avoid a minutes restriction in Friday’s affair against five-seed Miami Hurricanes. The best spread available on the Cougars is .

Texas (+900), which snuck by Penn State in the round of 32, finds itself below Houston for Madness Madness futures liability. These Longhorns have generated 7.3% of the handle and 6% of the ticket count.

Surprisingly, they’ve been led by ex-Vanderbilt forward Dylan Disu, who averaged 22.5 points and 10 boards per game versus Colgate and PSU. Texas is against Xavier in the Sweet 16 finale.

The remaining teams listed in order below, with the handle and ticket percentages stated as such:

  • UCLA (6.8%, 6.5%)
  • Gonzaga (5.7%, 6.1%)
  • UConn (4.3%, 4.1%)
  • Tennessee (2.8%, 2.9%)
  • Michigan State (1.4%, 1.8%)
  • Creighton (1.4%, 1.1%)
  • Arkansas (1%, 1.2%)
  • Kansas State (0.9%, 1.3%)
  • Xavier (0.9%, 1.1%)
  • Miami (0.8%, 1%)
  • Princeton (0.4%, 0.9%)
  • San Diego State (0.4%, 0.5%)
  • FAU (0.1%, 0.2%)

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