Once At 200/1 To Win Champions League, Ajax Continues Odds-Defying Run Into Semis

Posted By Chops on April 24, 2019
Ajax Odds

Is it time for oddsmakers to give Ajax more respect?

With consecutive Champions League knock-out round wins over Real Madrid and Juventus, the Dutch club has been on what some consider a Cinderella run for the ages. However, Ajax’s overall quality of form has not lined up with oddsmaker’s perception of them.

Ajax’s “unlikely” run

Ajax has been inside or right around the top 10 in global club rankings since the start of Champions League group play. At that point in September, they were 100/1 on DraftKings Sportsbook to win the UCL title. Next to the LiverpoolPSGNapoli “Group of Death,” Ajax was in arguably the next toughest four, paired with German giants Bayern Munich, Portuguese stalwart Benfica, and Greece’s perennial power AEK. Ajax still managed to advance from this difficult group without a loss.

Coming out of group play in December, Ajax’s odds improved to 70/1.

Then they drew reigning champs Real Madrid in the Round of 16. And those odds got long again at 80/1.

After a Leg 1 Round of 16 home loss to Real Madrid, a game Ajax out-shot Los Blancos and were even on possession an completed passes (i.e. RM was somewhat lucky to win), the Dutch club’s odds hit their nadir at 200/1.

From that point on, Ajax has been on the rise.

Ajax Odds to Win UCL on DraftKings

3/6/19

17/1

Defeated Real Madrid 4-1 to advance to quarterfinals

3/15/19

23/1

Odds climb again after Juventus is revealed as next opponent

4/16/19

6/1

Steamrolled Juventus to advance to semis

4/17/19

9/2

Manchester City loses, meaning Ajax will face Tottenham

With favored Manchester City eliminated from their half of the bracket, Ajax now plays Tottenham Hotspur in the Champions League semifinals. On the other half of the bracket, the two strongest remaining teams, Liverpool and Barcelona, face off. That should be an instant classic.

While some experts have been on-board the Ajax train for a while, the general public has not. However, one better on DraftKings stands to make $8,000 from a $100 Ajax futures bet in December. Expect a major uptick in Ajax bets over the next couple of weeks.

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Steve “Chops” Preiss has 15 years of experience in the gaming industry. Chops began writing and producing content for digital media sites during the early poker-boom years. He has twice been voted by his peers as one of the 20 Most Influential People in Poker. Chops has also written and produced segments for a primetime gaming TV show on Versus (now NBC Sports Network) and distributed a poker program to over 160M global households.

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