Betting Blog: What’s Aidan O’Connell Worth To Raiders; Davante Adams Trade Odds Update
After replacing Gardner Minshew with over a quarter left in the Raiders’ Week 5 loss to the Broncos, Aidan O’Connell will start in Sunday’s game against the Steelers. While Pittsburgh has risen from -2.5 on the look-ahead line to -3, this movement wasn’t a product of the impending quarterback news. Let’s assess the odds for the Raiders vs. Steelers, including O’Connell’s resume and the latest on Davante Adams.
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NFL Week 6: Raiders vs. Steelers odds
Market Evaluation
Look-ahead lines are often adjusted based on the ensuing week’s results. Although Pittsburgh fell to Dallas in the waning seconds, Las Vegas was obliterated as a three-point underdog in the Mile High City. Even though the Raiders outgained the Broncos by a smidge in yards per play (YPP), the spread was adjusted to the key number of a field goal.
When examining the turnover battle, it’s unsurprising why Denver won by two scores. Minshew tallied three interceptions, including a pick-six in the second quarter that flipped the script. While takeaways aren’t necessarily predictive, Pittsburgh is tied for the league’s fourth-best turnover differential.
For reference, O’Connell’s turnover-worthy play rate (2.6%) in 2023 was only a hair lower than Minshew’s this season.
While O’Connell could invigorate Las Vegas’ offense, the lack of explosive playmakers hampers his upside. ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that Adams, the six-time Pro Bowl wide receiver who hasn’t played since Week 3 with a hamstring injury and has requested a trade, isn’t expected to suit up in Week 6.
Since the start of last season, O’Connell ranks No. 47 in the EPA+CPOE composite. Bettors may find that the Steelers have outperformed their 3-2 record, but betting on the Raiders sans Adams is risky.
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More Raiders Odds: Where Will Adams Land?
At DraftKings Sportsbook, odds of which team Adams will take his first snap with after the NFL trade deadline are available.
Aaron Rodgers and the Jets have become odds-on favorites with a -200 price tag, yet Las Vegas is behind them in retaining Adams at +300. The Ravens and Saints follow suit.
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