UNC College Basketball Vs. NC State Odds: ACC Championship Betting Guide
Written By Eli Hershkovich | Last Updated at March 16, 2024
The 2024 ACC Tournament Championship tips off on Saturday night, with the top-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels (27-6, 17-3) facing the 10th-seeded NC State Wolfpack (21-14, 9-1). Tar Heels (or Wolfpack) fans in North Carolina can take advantage of the best NC sportsbook promos — with March Madness odds nearing. The value adds up to $2,950 in bonus bets! We've ranked the top bonus codes for UNC and NC State odds near the bottom of this article.
unc basketball odds vs. NC State
UNC Odds: ACC Tournament Championship Preview
With a conference title on the line, UNC odds are favorites. Meanwhile, NC State is to pull off the monster upset. The total is .
Will Tar Heels Cover?
Fill in the blank this time of year. The cliché is often used that "X" team is playing its best basketball of the season. However, it's the case for North Carolina.
The Tar Heels defeated Pitt in the ACC tournament semifinals, with RJ Davis and Armando Bacot combining for 31 of their 39 second-half points. Equally as impressive, Harrison Ingram held Panthers forward Blake Hinson to just five points on 2-of-12 shooting.
As for the Wolfpack, they received a gift from Virginia in the waning seconds. Up by three points, the Wahoos elected not to foul. NC State guard Michael O'Connell subsequently hit a triple, which sent the game to overtime. Kevin Keatts' crew outscored Virginia 15-7 in the extra session, putting itself within one win of earning an automatic bid into the NCAA tournament.
While UNC has seemingly already clinched a No. 1 seed in March Madness, there's motivation for its seniors to claim their first-ever ACC tournament title in the latest edition of their Tobacco Road Rivalry.
Moreover, the Wolfpack will play their fifth game in five days, meaning there's certainly the possibility of tired legs throughout. This angle is undoubtedly baked into the point spread. The Tar Heels' regular-season sweep also plays a role.
In their most recent affair, UNC outscored NC State by 17 points in the second half. The Wolfpack's cold floor spacing was a significant factor. Another 3-of-17 (17.6%) shooting performance from behind the arc, which they compiled versus Virginia on Friday, won't cut it with their NCAA tournament hopes on the line.
Whoever wins the battle between Bacot and DJ Burns in the low post could determine which team covers the number. Statistically, the Tar Heels should have an edge, boasting a top-70 near proximity attempt rate at both ends (via Haslametrics).
Predictions For UNC Odds
My raw numbers make the line closer to UNC -9.5. Likewise, our partner Haslametrics projects a final score of 79.2-70.5, favoring the UNC odds on the moneyline but NC State odds regarding the spread.
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