4 Potential Longshots & PGA TOUR Sleeper Picks For The 2024 Zurich Classic

It’s a change of pace week for betting on PGA TOUR golf sleepers and making DFS picks, as we venture into the enigma of Team Stroke Play for 2024 Zurich Classic odds at TPC Louisiana.
Some view sports betting as an investment to grind weekly research, beat the books, and turn a profit. Those people are likely not fans of this event and will skip along to the Byron Nelson next week. I, however, like to bet on sports and play DFS for entertainment purposes that will hopefully also result in me winning money, so I welcome the idea of a quirky change of pace event like we have here. Plus, the immovable force of Scottie Scheffler isn’t here in Louisiana, so the longshots we love to bet seem like they’ll actually have a fighting chance!
Let’s get to our 2024 Zurich Classic longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. Click on the golf odds listed below to bet now on the best available prices in your state.
ZURICH CLASSIC Odds
TPC LOUISIANA COURSE INTRODUCTION
Back-to-back Pete Dye courses are on the schedule as the TOUR travels from Hilton Head to TPC Louisiana. Unlike Harbour Town, this 7,400-yard setup is at sea level. The often soft conditions are generous off the tee and will draw a steady dosage of drivers and long iron approaches. However, despite the yardage, plenty of accurate plodders have found success here over the years.
Unlike most weeks on the PGA TOUR, there’s not a ton of value in running a model for this event, as the subjective benefit of a comfortable team pairing has often trumped course fit. That said, there is some value in longshots this week who have shown proven past results in this unique format or who have had prior success playing with their partner.
For a deeper dive into the course, read my Zurich Classic preview. Now, let’s get to our Zurich Classic picks, focusing on longshots and sleepers.
Zurich Classic Expert DFS and Betting Picks
From a sleeper perspective, I will take a stance on the subjective importance of team chemistry, familiarity amongst partners with prior reps together in team match-play formats, and the ability to spike for birdie streaks as key areas to identify value and differentiate my player pool at the 2024 Zurich Classic.
Taylor Moore & Matthew NeSmith
Fresh off back-to-back top-4 finishes together at the Zurich Classic in each of the last two years, Moore & NeSmith are one of the most accomplished duos in the field this week, but are still flying under the radar from a pricing standpoint. Taylor Moore will be counted on to do more of the heavy lifting in the third installment of this partnership, as he’s sustained hot form in this stretch of the season with three top-20s over his last four starts. The 2023 Valspar Championship winner is very familiar with Bermuda courses like TPC Louisiana, having played his college golf in the bordering state of Arkansas.
His partner, Matthew NeSmith, may scare some DFS players or bettors away with his form in 2024. However, looking back to last year confirms that a similar slump leading up to the 2023 Zurich Classic did not hamper this duo’s prospects. Sometimes, a comfortable pairing in a format other than traditional stroke play is just what the doctor ordered to turn the corner, and his course history still leaves plenty of room for optimism at this price.
Luke List & Henrik Norlander
You have my attention any time you introduce a format where Luke List is not solely responsible for putting out all of Luke List’s masterful approaches to the green. Standing over 7,400 yards with four reachable par-5s and a drive-able par-4, distance is advantageous at TPC Louisiana, which means this pairing will start from second base.
From an approach standpoint, both Norlander and List rank inside the top 25 in this field, which is always an encouraging sign in this format when players on the team are reliable iron players. Norlander enters the week in sneaky good form with three top-20s over his last six starts. He nearly added a fourth top-20 to the list last week, entering Sunday at Corales inside the top-10 before a quiet Sunday dropped him back to a modest T34 finish.
I’m not exactly sure how these two know each other, but I do know that Luke List now resides in Augusta, Georgia, and Henrik Norlander attended Augusta State University, so I’m sure their paths have crossed enough to strike up a good partnership. They looked solid in their first year together at the Zurich Classic last year, finishing T23, and are both in better form in 2024 as they look to improve on that mark.
Justin Lower & Dylan Wu
Yet another team I’m interested in with proven past performance together at a discounted price, these are two well-rounded players in above-average form with a great history together. In a week starved of “value” towards the bottom of the board, I’m drawn to this duo’s floor as a solid pair of cut-makers.
Lower enters in better form between the two. He found himself in contention throughout last week at the Corales Puntacana Championship, ultimately chased down by Billy Horschel before a respectable T4 finish. That marked his third consecutive top-30 finish, as he’s looked to really turn a corner with his game in this stretch of the season.
Dylan Wu has also sustained a great run of consistency with his game lately. He carries a streak of four consecutive made cuts leading in, including a T19 at THE PLAYERS over that span. The partnership got off to a hot start in their 2022 Zurich Classic debuts together, finishing T10, and they’ll look to improve on that mark by playing together for the third consecutive year this week.
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Charley Hoffman & Nick Watney
The $6K range is not a very enticing place to be on DraftKings this week, so in a sea of recent MCs, I like the idea of zagging for pure Event History.
Team chemistry and camaraderie are the immeasurable necessities that can help a team exceed its expectations. Few others in this field can compare to Hoffman & Watney’s chemistry, as they’ve played alongside each other in each of the first six Zurich Classic Team Stroke Play events since 2017. Over that stretch, they’ve posted four top-20 finishes in similar preceding form. Watney has never shown much of an indication of form outside of Zurich Classic week, but it’s Hoffman’s recent resurgence that excites me about this team.
Fresh off of a T4 at Corales last week and a 2nd place finish at TPC Scottsdale earlier this season, there’s still plenty of upside in Hoffman’s game to carry this time to another made cut in 2024.
Best of luck if you choose to bet on these PGA TOUR golf sleepers!