2026 Olympic Games: Medal Predictions, Odds and Picks for Feb. 21

Saturday’s Olympic slate gives Team USA three very different medal pathways, each with its own risk profile and betting angle. From the high-variance chaos of ski mountaineering’s mixed relay to a single-game bronze medal showdown in women’s curling and a judged freeski halfpipe final where one run can change everything, this is a day built for upside.

There are no long tournaments left in these spots. These are medal events or direct medal implications. Execution matters. Nerves matter. And in two of the three events, volatility plays directly into the hands of bettors willing to take plus-money swings.

Here are the best USA-focused bets to consider for Saturday’s action.

All Bets via DraftKings

Ski Mountaineering Mixed Relay (Gold Medal Event)

Pick: United States To Win Gold (+4000)

Ski mountaineering’s mixed relay is one of the most unpredictable formats on the Olympic Winter Games schedule. The race combines steep ascents, rapid descents, technical transitions, and tag-team pacing in a compact relay structure that leaves very little margin for error. A slow transition or minor miscue can immediately swing multiple positions.

The +4000 odds on the United States offer value, even if it's an underdog play. In a sport defined by transitions and positioning, favorites are not insulated the way they might be in longer endurance formats. If the Americans stay clean through the exchanges and avoid major time losses, the upside relative to price becomes compelling. This is a calculated longshot in a medal event where chaos is part of the structure.

Women’s Curling Bronze Medal Game: USA vs Canada

Pick: USA Moneyline (+190)

Any USA vs Canada Olympic matchup carries weight, and curling is no exception. This bronze medal game is a single-shot opportunity for hardware, which changes the strategic complexion entirely. There is no tomorrow, no long round-robin recovery. Every end is magnified.

Canada enters as the favorite, but +190 on the United States reflects how tight this matchup truly is. Curling at this level often comes down to a handful of shots: a missed guard, a slightly heavy draw, or a clutch final stone in the eighth or ninth end.

The Americans have shown the ability to control the house early and force opponents into more difficult angles. If Team USA dictates tempo and avoids giving up multiple-point ends, the plus-money price becomes attractive. In a one-game medal scenario between two elite programs, taking the underdog with clear upside is a reasonable betting position.

Freestyle Skiing: Women’s Freeski Halfpipe Final

Pick: Svea Irving To Win Gold (+4000)

Halfpipe finals are built on ceiling, not consistency. Judges reward amplitude, technical progression, and execution under pressure. In most cases, the podium is determined by who lands the biggest clean run, not who played it safe.

Svea Irving enters as a longshot at +4000, but the format favors aggressive value plays. Athletes get multiple attempts, and it is common to see medal positions shift dramatically in the final run when competitors push the difficulty.

Irving does not need to dominate wire-to-wire. She needs one breakthrough run. If a favorite leaves points on the table with a bobble or under-rotated trick, the entire medal picture opens. At this number, the return justifies the volatility inherent in judged action sports. Her teammate Kate Gray will also be competing in this event.

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Saturday’s USA betting card blends volatility with opportunity. The mixed relay offers massive payout potential in a format designed for disruption. Curling presents a straightforward bronze medal showdown at plus money against a familiar rival. And in the halfpipe, one landed run can flip the podium and cash a longshot ticket.

Olympic betting is rarely about laying heavy favorites across the board. It is about identifying where structure, pressure, and format create pricing inefficiencies. Saturday provides three chances to lean into that strategy while backing Team USA in medal moments.

All Odds as of Feb. 20 at 11:59 p.m. ET