2023 Genesis Scottish Open & Barbasol Championship Bets: Final Thoughts, Golf Betting Card, One And Done

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Written By John Haslbauer | Last Updated
scottish open bets

The kickoff to the UK Swing, the PGA TOUR crosses the pond to take us to Scotland for the 2023 Genesis Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club. With 75 of the top players from the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour comprising the field, it lacks the depth of an average PGA TOUR event, but atones for it with plenty of star power. Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and Patrick Cantlay headline the field with the best golf odds, in what is sure to be an entertaining precursor to the final Major of the season in the week to follow. Let’s dive into my bets for the Scottish Open, with a couple bonuses for the Barbasol Championship.

The question remains how motivated the top players are to win this week, opposed to simply tuning up in links conditions prior to The Open Championship. Either way, I’m looking forward to some time-shifted viewing from here on the east coast.

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HOW I BUILT MY GENESIS SCOTTISH OPEN, BARBASOL CHAMPIONSHIP BETTING CARDS

European links golf is the most difficult type of golf to confidently handicap with data. Whether it be the absence of ShotLink data, unpredictable weather splits, new faces from the DP World Tour, or completely different style of play required compared to traditional United States golf, anything can happen in Scotland.

That said, there is a significant disparity in talent between the PGA TOUR and DP World Tour players in this field. So, I’ve opted to concentrate my betting exposure to the best PGA TOUR players with proven results in links conditions.

In terms of unit allocations for my card this week, it’s back to business as usual for my weekly PGA TOUR exposure, with a bonus outright card for the opposite field event at the Barbasol Championship:

  • Outrights (Barbasol) – 2.5U in to pay 24U each
  • Outrights (Scottish) – 3U in to pay 24U each
  • FRL (Scottish) – 0.5U in to pay out 10U+ each
  • Props (Scottish) – 3U in to pay out 3U+ each

Click on any of the Genesis Scottish Open odds below for the best available prices across sportsbooks in your state.

BARBASOL CHAMPIONSHIP BETS: OUTRIGHTS (2.5 UNITS)

The Barbasol Championship, held at Keene Trace Golf Club in Kentucky, is statistically the easiest golf course on the PGA TOUR. It offers little to no resistance from tee to green. It is your quintessential putting contest, requiring a score well beyond 20-under par to win. Bombers like Trey Mullinax, Seamus Power, and Greyson Murray capitalized on a driver-heavy approach here in their recent victories, with little penalty for drives that miss the fairway.

Lucas Glover headlines as the World No. 112, so I did not want to dignify this event with any excessive time spent on research or a preview. I’ve rolled out four plays below, each fully capable of going low in easy scoring conditions.

Vincent Norrman

My Bet: +2400
Best Available Odds:

These are uncomfortably short odds for a player I’d never even heard of two months ago. But, Norrman fits the profile as a bomber with consistent ball striking and spike putting upside. Wide open and easy courses prove to be his bread and butter, as he’s finished top-25 at the Corales Championship, Mexico Open, AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rocket Mortgage Classic in the last four months.

Akshay Bhatia

My Bet: +2800
Best Available Odds:

I’ll be damned if I miss Akshay Bhatia’s first career PGA TOUR victory. That notion alone is the primary reason I decided to bet the Barbasol Championship in the first place. In 2022, Mullinax displayed no immediate form before his victory here. But, he left clues that he could contend on an easy and open set up with a season-best T24 finish at the Mexico Open. Akshay has him beat from that perspective, finishing T3 at this year’s Mexico Open and, with another runner up finish under his belt at the Puerto Rico Open earlier this season, it’s clear he’s at his best when scoring conditions are easiest.

Kevin Chappell

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds

Kevin Chappell is sneakily the No. 1 player in total strokes gained over the last 24 rounds in this field, so that alone is worth a try at 80-1 odds. He has three top-25s over that stretch between the Mexico Open, Corales Puntacana, and Puerto Rico Open, all solid comps for the driver-heavy strategy needed at Keene Trace Golf Club.

Harry Higgs

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds

Harry Higgs recently made his way on my FRL card at the Rocket Mortgage Classic for his ability to go low in easy scoring conditions. Unfortunately for Higgs this season, he’s made a habit of negating his great rounds with terrible ones in the same week. Even still, he’s demonstrated the ability to go low in easy scoring conditions this season with top-20s at The AmEx, Puerto Rico Open, and RBC Canadian Open, so I like the 80-1 odds on one of the most recognizable names in this field.

GENESIS SCOTTISH OPEN BETS: OUTRIGHTS (3 UNITS)

Jordan Spieth

My Bet: +2400
Best Available Odds:

The 2017 Open Champion has had his name synonymous with links golf dominance ever since. Spieth has never missed a cut at The Open Championship with five career top-10 finishes, and furthered the case for his course fit at The Renaissance Club last year with a T10 finish.

Spieth continues to knock on the door, still looking for his first win since the 2022 RBC Heritage. With six top-6 finishes over the last five months, it seems his next win will inevitably come soon. As the No. 10 player in my model this week, I like the value at 24-1 odds, as Spieth checks all of the boxes between the course fit, recent form, course and comp course history, and the good, old fashioned eye test.

Tyrrell Hatton

My Bet: +2500
Best Available Odds:

Similar to Spieth, Tyrrell Hatton has simply played too well in all facets of the game in 2023 to leave this season without a PGA TOUR win. Prior to this resurgent season, Hatton had earned the reputation as a bit of a links specialist, so the combination of current form and historical performance on this style of golf course is too good to ignore.

At the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship, Hatton has displayed one of the most dominant runs at a given event, with two wins, a T2, T3, T7, and a T15 over his last six appearances. That links dominance has translated outside of just the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship too, as he has four top-11 finishes at The Open to go along with a T24 in his 2022 Scottish Open debut. Given his hot current form, it’s hard to imagine a return to links golf will cause him to slow down now.

Min Woo Lee

My Bet: +4000
Best Available Odds

The Scottish Open brings plenty of uncertainty for PGA TOUR bettors, given the drastic weather changes, unique change of scenery, absence of strokes gained data, and presence of 75 DP World Tour members. So with so many question marks, I’m comfortable paying up for the course history odds premium with Min Woo Lee.

From a statistical profile standpoint, Min Woo is a sensible fit for The Renaissance Club, given his elite driving distance, which paid off in his 2021 Scottish Open victory. This year, Min Woo continues to develop into one of the game’s brightest young stars, with four top-20s over his last five starts, two of which coming at the PGA Championship and U.S. Open. With top-15 finishes in all six of his DP World Tour starts in 2023, Min Woo’s game is trending perfectly leading into another great setup for his game.

Wyndham Clark

My Bet: +5500
Best Available Odds:

It probably seems farfetched to expect Wyndham Clark to win three PGA TOUR events over a six start span, but at these odds, this definitely does not have the feel of a “buy high” spot, as Clark opened at similar odds prior to his U.S. victory. Los Angeles Country Club requires many of the same shots as The Renaissance Club – each featuring generous, firm fairways, many long par-4s, and a need for creativity around the greens – so it’s fair to expect another strong showing from the U.S. Open champion if he can execute the same game plan.

In his 2022 Genesis Scottish Open debut, Clark finished T16 despite losing two strokes putting. Putting has always been the strength of his game, so with newfound prominence on approach this time around in 2023, Clark seems poised for an improved year over year result at this event.

Romain Langasque

My Bet: +30000
Best Available Odds:

It wouldn’t be a proper co-sanctioned event if I didn’t have at last one full-time DP World Tour member on my betting card, so I’ve opted to go with this French bomber. Langasque is a long driver with spike putting upside, and paid off that course fit with a T3 finish at the Scottish Open in 2019. From a recent form standpoint, he’s trending well with five top-20s over his last seven starts. A runner up finish at the Italian Open within that sretch justifies that he has the game to put himself into contention, so he’s worth a flying at such massive odds.

GENESIS SCOTTISH OPEN FIRST-ROUND LEADER BETS (0.5 UNITS)

Aaron Rai

My Bet: +6500
Best Available Odds:

It’s always a good idea to bet Aaron Rai first round leader, but that’s especially true at a course where he’s won before. The 2020 Scottish Open champion returns home to the United Kingdom with two top-10s over his last three starts, so I like his chances to stay hot in round one.

Lucas Herbert

My Bet: +7500
Best Available Odds:

A bomber with one of the most reliable putters in this field, Herbert is well suited to go low at The Renaissance Club. The results have backed that up with two T4s at the Scottish Open since 2020, and he should carry some positive momentum after a winning earlier this season at the ISPS HANDA Championship.

Gary Woodland

My Bet: +8000
Best Available Odds:

Gary Woodland was in solo second place through round one of the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open, falling victim to Cameron Tringale’s artisanal opening round 61. A long and driver-heavy course which rewards low-flighted ball striking beneath unpredictable winds makes sense for Woodland’s game, so I’m happy to go right back for a little redemption after a close call last year.

Ryan Fox

My Bet: +8500
Best Available Odds:

The 2022 Alfred Dunhill Links champion leaves no questions about his ability to score on the European links. The Renaissance Club is a links course that exaggerates the advantage for longer hitters off the tee, which should play right into the Kiwi’s hands to fire off a hot start in Scotland.

Thomas Detry

My Bet: +10000
Best Available Odds

Falling just short to Min Woo Lee in the 2021 playoff at the Scottish Open, Detry’s game is a sensible fit at The Renaissance Club. The form has been a little shaky coming in, which explains these long odds, but First Round Leader is the perfect market to get your exposure to Detry, who is volatile but excels with his driving and putting.

GENESIS SCOTTISH OPEN PROPS (3 UNITS)

Top-20 Finish: Wyndham Clark

My Bet: +190
Best Available Odds:

Whether it be the floodgates finally opening or a new swell of confidence, Clark has not looked back since his maiden PGA TOUR victory at the Wells Fargo Championship. He has nine top-30 finishes over his last 10 starts, a credit to his newfound consistency on approach. In 2022, Clark finished T16 at the Scottish Open before his rise to prominence, and did so with an uncharacteristically cold putter. I expect an even better result in 2023 for Clark, who rates out in the top-7 of my model this week.

Top-40 Finish: Callum Tarren

My Bet: +240
Best Available Odds:

I’m happy to buy the dip on Tarren here after his fall from grace at the John Deere Classic last week. The Englishman should feel more comfortable returning to the United Kingdom now, and his distance off the tee should help generate ample scoring opportunities on this longer layout. With four top-40s over his last six starts, these odds seem like a great value to jump on.

Top-20 Finish: Sahith Theegala

My Bet: +360
Best Available Odds:

A little over a month ago, I had Theegala pegged as the last man on the USA Ryder Cup team over Wyndham Clark and Keegan Bradley. He’s gotten absolutely lapped by both players in the month of June and has fallen completely out of the Ryder Cup discussion since then, but I still don’t think he’s very far removed from his peak form. Theegala is a perfect fit for links golf with his imaginative shot making, and has still not missed a cut since the Sanderson Farms last October.

Top-20 Finish: Joost Luiten

My Bet: +700
Best Available Odds:

I don’t know much about Joost Luiten or his game, but I had just enough room on the card for one more longshot top-20 bet, and his blind statistical profile seems worth a shot to me. Luiten has six top-10s over his last 15 starts, including back to back top-10s at the Betfred British Masters and BMW International Open in his latest two starts, so I like what I see in his form leading into the Scottish Open.

ONE AND DONE

My Pick: Min Woo Lee

Min Woo Lee would seem to be the safe play in One And Done this week, as he’s already proven he can win on this course, and there’s no better time the rest of this season to play him than now. I’ve exhausted most of the elite players in this field already, and the few I have left (Xander Schauffele, Matt Fitzpatrick, Jordan Spieth), I’d like to save for the higher purse events remaining, between The Open Championship and FedEx Cup playoffs. Lee’s game is as hot now as it’s been all season on a streak of three consecutive top-10s, so he should feel confident return to the scene of his 2021 win.

If not Lee, I would also consider Xander Schauffele, Jordan Spieth, or Victor Perez as OAD picks.

Genesis scottish open: THE BETTING CARD

That’ll do it for this week’s Genesis Scottish Open bets. Best of luck this week with your own Scottish Open bets, and see you on Sunday for the British Open! For more, follow TheLines on Twitter.

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