2022-23 College Basketball Odds Preview: Mountain West Title Futures

Written By Derek Wagner on October 20, 2022 - Last Updated on October 26, 2022
mountain west basketball odds

Mountain West men’s basketball media day wraps up on Thursday, as many teams are hopeful to compete and possibly even take down the favored San Diego State Aztecs. In this article, we take a deeper look into SDSU, a couple contenders, and a possible longshot. Let’s take a look at those Mountain West basketball odds for the upcoming season.

We’ll look at regular season MWC futures and Final Four odds to win the National Championship. Click on the odds to bet now.

MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE REGULAR SEASON ODDS

Check out the Mountain West regular season conference championship odds below at Caesars Sportsbook.

Game
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
San Diego State
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+140
Wyoming
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+350
Boise State
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+400
Colorado State
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+600
New Mexico
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+1000
Utah State
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+1500
UNLV
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+1500
Fresno State
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+1800
Nevada
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+2800
Air Force
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+6000
San Jose State
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+6000
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MOUNTAIN WEST BASKETBALL ODDS: THE FAVORITE

San Diego State Aztecs

  • Odds to win the National Championship:

The AP top 25 poll was released on Monday and coming in at No. 19 were the Aztecs. SDSU presents one of college basketball’s toughest defenses since Brian Dutcher became head coach. Since his first season in 2017-18, the team has finished outside the top 30 in adjusted defensive efficiency just once. Furthermore, last season was their best season yet, finishing second in adjusted defensive efficiency only behind Texas Tech. They are capable of locking down any team in the country when they are at full strength.

  • Key Losses: Trey Pulliam

Dutcher returns four of his five starters from a season ago. Therefore, he has his team primed for a run at the conference title. The Aztecs fell short in both the regular season and the conference tournament last year as Boise State was able to beat them twice.

MOUNTAIN WEST BASKETBAL ODDS: THE CONTENDERS

Wyoming Cowboys

  • Odds to win the National Championship:

The Cowboys have high aspirations for the upcoming season as they finished third in the Mountain West last season and earned a trip to the NCAA tournament. Jeff Linder‘s is positioned nicely to make it back to the tournament as top scorers Hunter Maldonado (18.5 ppg) and Graham Ike (19,5 ppg) are set to return.

  • Key Additions Ethan Anderson (USC transfer), Max Agbonkpolo (USC), Jake Kyman (UCLA tranfer)

6-foot-9 forward Max Agbonkpolo will play a key role if the Cowboys make noise in the Mountain West again this year. In addition to his length being a problem on the defensive end, Agbonkpolo was able to use it to drive and finish around the rim last season. If he’s able to increase his production in the paint, the Cowboys could be a problem in the Mountain West.

Colorado State Rams

  • Odds to win the National Championship:

Although the Rams are one of the favorites to contend in the Mountain West, they will have to do so without David Roddy. Last year’s Mountain West Conference Player of the Year averaged 19.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 1.1 blocks, and 1.2 steals per game. Roddy shot an astonishing 45% from behind the arc last season in conference play. Head coach Niko Medved will have to lean on numerous players to replace Roddy’s production from last season.

  • Key Additions: Josiah Strong (transfer from Illinois State), Patrick Cartier (transfer from Division II), Joe Palmer (transfer from Division III),

First, let’s take a look at Roddy’s likely replacement, Patrick Cartier. Cartier was one of the most impressive players in Division II this past season and drew interest from Wisconsin and Marquette in the transfer portal. At Hillsdale college, the 6-foot-eight forward averaged 22 points and six rebounds per game. He also was able to space the floor and shoot 43% from behind the arc. He should fit nicely in Niko Medved’s offense.

Josiah Strong will play a huge role for the Rams this year. The transfer from Illinois State should help in the 3-point shooting department as he is coming off a season where he shot 40% from three-point range.

Nico Medved’s offense is one of the best in college basketball. In fact, they ranked twenty fourth in adjusted offense on KenPom last year. Medved’s offense focuses on ball movement and floor spacing. Everyone on the court is able to shoot and stretch the floor, making it difficult for opponents to defend.

It is worth noting that point guard Isaiah Stevens has a serious foot injury. The team is hopeful that he will be able to return for conference play. If he is unable to return before conference play, Medved may have to lean heavily on freshman guard Taviontae Jackson.

Boise State Broncos

  • Odds to win the National Championship:

Despite losing their leading scorer Abu Kigab from last season, the Broncos have a high ceiling for the upcoming season. Leon Rice dipped into the transfer portal and pulled out Chibuzo Agbo from Texas Tech. This is one of the most intriguing transfers in nation since Agbo was a top-75 recruit in the nation in 2020. Agbo only played six minutes a game last season due to Tech’s loaded roster. He figures to add to an already tough Boise defense. Last season the Broncos finished twentieth in adjusted defense according to KenPom.

  • Key Losses: Abu Kigab (Canadian League), Emmanuel Akot (Transferred to Western Kentucky),

In addition to losing Kigab, the Broncos lost Emmanual Akot to the transfer portal. Akot was a vital part to Boise’s offense last season as he shot a blistering 40.3% from behind the arc in 14 conference games. Although replacing that kind of production will be difficult, it will not be impossible. Freshman guard RJ Keene could be asked to help fill this void.

MOUNTAIN WEST BASKETBALL ODDS: THE SLEEPER

FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS

  • Odds to win the National Championship:

Justin Houston‘s squad is hoping to move up in the ranks in a tough Mountain West Conference. Houston should have some help from an excellent recruit that chose the Bulldogs over some other big schools in the country.

  • Key Losses: Orlando Robinson (NBA free agent), Deon Stroud (transferred to Eastern Washington), Junior Ballard (transferred to Weber State).

Although Stroud and Ballard are not major losses, Orlando Robinson leaves a huge hole to fill. The 7-foot Robinson averaged 19.4 points, 8.4 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks per game last season. Fresno State was a top-100 rebounding team with him in the middle last season. The likely replacement for Robinson will be Souther Miss transfer Isaih Moore who is coming off a breakout campaign with the Golden Eagles. Moore finished last season with 13.1 points and 6.9 rebounds per game. Although Moore is not as big as Robinson, this was a nice addition by Houston via the transfer portal.

Joseph Hunter was a top-100 recruit and passed up offers from Illinois and Arkansas to come play at Fresno State. Hunter is a guard who exceled in transition at the high school level. This could be a major change for a Fresno State team that finished fourth slowest in the nation in regard to adjusted tempo a season ago.

Be sure to follow TheLines college basketball writer Eli Hershkovich on Twitter before the college basketball season begins.

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