2021 US Open Women’s Tennis Odds: Osaka On Path For Showdown With World No. 1?

Written By Derek Helling on August 25, 2021
2021 us open tennis odds

If not for the presence of Naomi Osaka, WTA No. 1 Ashleigh Barty would be the runaway favorite in the 2021 US Open women’s tennis odds. The final Grand Slam singles event of the year will likely pit those two on a collision course for the final, given Osaka’s standing.

For bettors, the question becomes whether any other players in New York City over the next few weeks can prevent a Barty-Osaka final. Certainly, there are women who are capable.

2021 US Open women’s tennis odds

Legal US sportsbooks may not feature much of a gap between the top-two women in the world but there’s a dropoff in the odds after Barty and Osaka to the rest of the field. For example, their odds at DraftKings Sportsbook implies about a 39% chance that either Barty or Osaka will win.

2021 Women's US Open Tennis Singles Futures

Aryna Sabalenka
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+225
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+200
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+250
Elina Svitolina
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+600
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+500
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+500
Barbara Krejcikova
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+650
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+1000
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+700
Karolina Pliskova
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+700
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+600
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+700
Iga Swiatek
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+1000
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+1000
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+900
Belinda Bencic
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+1200
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+1000
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+900
Emma Raducanu
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+1200
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+1600
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+1000
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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+1400
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+1700
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+1400
Bianca Andreescu
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+1400
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+1600
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+1400
Maria Sakkari
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+1600
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+1700
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+1600
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
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+2500
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+2900
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+2500
Shelby Rogers
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+5000
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+6500
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+8000
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View the complete 2021 US Open women’s tennis odds for every player at top US sportsbooks like Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook.

Related: US Open Men’s Tennis Odds

Top players in NYC next week

The numbers for Barty in 2021 are like a ticker-tape of greatness. She’s not only 38-8 overall but 14-1 versus top-20 players. If she wins this US Open, she’ll become just the 16th woman to win both Wimbledon and the US Open in the same year and the first since Serena Williams in 2012. What’s more, she didn’t drop a single set last week in Cincinnati.

Other past winners expected in the field besides Osaka (2020) and S. Williams (1999, 2002, 2008, 2012-2014) include:

  • Bianca Andreescu – 2019
  • Sloane Stephens – 2017
  • Venus Williams – 2000 and 2001

Osaka comes in with everything she needs to defend her title. For bettors, though, her recent form might be concerning. She had an opportunity to face Barty in last week’s Western & Southern Open final but struggled in the Round of 32 before being eliminated in the Round of 16. Tacking that onto her second-round ouster in the Olympics doesn’t inspire confidence. Still, when on her game, she’s capable of defeating anyone in the world.

Including Andreescu (No. 7), Barty, and Osaka (No. 3), the entirety of the current WTA top-10 rankings should compete next week. Those players are:

  • No. 2 Aryna Sabalenka (+1400)
  • No. 4 Karolina Pliskova (+1600)
  • No. 5 Sofia Kenin (+3600)
  • No. 6 Elina Svitolina (+2900)
  • No. 8 Iga Swiatek (+1100)
  • No. 9 Barbara Krejcikova (+2200)
  • No. 10 Garbiñe Muguruza (+1800)

Stadium and tournament info; how to watch US Open

Arthur Ashe Stadium in New York City will be the site of all rounds for the women’s singles tournament, with qualifying beginning Saturday, Aug. 28. All players begin their roads to the title on Monday, Aug. 30. Fans who want to check out the action live will need access to ESPN’s networks. Tennis Channel will feature encore coverage, however.

Thursday, Aug. 26 will bring the official announcement of the women’s singles draw. Soon thereafter, court assignments, times, and viewing information for each individual match should be available.

Although the extended weather forecast in NYC doesn’t feature a lot of high temperatures in the 90s, humidity could still be a factor. The forecast does call for several overcast days as well.

Which player could upset the apple cart?

If you watched the women’s singles tournament during the Tokyo Olympics, you’re probably familiar with this contender. Gold medalist Belinda Bencic hasn’t won this event yet but hard surfaces are her strength and she was the runner-up to Andreescu in 2019. She also reached the quarters in Cincinnati last week, another hard court tourney.

Bettors should note that while Bencic is 0-1 in her career against Barty, she’s 3-1 against Osaka. Those three victories include a straight-set win over Osaka in the 2019 US Open.

For bettors who think someone other than Barty or Osaka will win but don’t want to pick a winner, FanDuel will allow you to stake money on “the field” (-230) against Barty or Osaka (+160). FanDuel’s outright odds imply a 35.6% probability of a Barty or Osaka win, and this prop implies a 38.5% probability of that outcome. So, bettors looking to back Barty and Osaka get a little more value just betting each in the outright market.

Caesars currently has an odds boost on Sabalenka to win at +1100, up from +1000 with a maximum bet of $100. However, FanDuel’s standard 2021 US Open tennis odds on Sabalenka sit at +1400. Sabalenka is a combined 4-5 against Barty/Osaka, falling to Osaka in the 2018 US Open. That match against Osaka in the Round of 16 is her best showing in the US Open so far.

If Barty and Osaka deliver a grand final between themselves, both bettors and fans will likely look forward to that action. For Barty, defeating Osaka en route to the title would further establish her 2021 as a fantastic year.

Derek Helling Avatar
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Derek Helling

Derek Helling is a lead writer for PlayUSA and the manager of BetHer. He is a 2013 graduate of the University of Iowa and covers the intersections of sports with business and the law.

View all posts by Derek Helling