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April 9, 2019

Feats vs. Form: Bettors Are Backing A Struggling Jordan Spieth To Win The Masters This Year

FairwayJay April 9, 2019
Spieth Masters Odds

The Masters at Augusta National is a picture of perfection. Manicured fairways, lush green landscape and magical moments and memories surround the first major championship of the season.

For years, Jordan Spieth has flirted with perfection at Augusta himself. Last year, Spieth finished third (-13) behind Rickie Fowler (-14) and eventual champion Patrick Reed (-15), who held off the two young stars as a 40-1 longshot before the tournament.

In five career starts at The Masters working back from 2018, Spieth has finished 3rd, 11th, 2nd, 1st and 2nd.

And heading into this week’s tournament, Spieth is taking the most money to win The Masters at DraftKings Sportsbook in New Jersey. Despite his total ticket count being less than Tiger Woods, Fowler and Rory McIlroy, Spieth is a popular choice with a record at Augusta that includes a green jacket in 2015. As of Monday afternoon, 20% of the money was on Spieth to win The Masters outright at DraftKings.

GolferDraftKings OddsBets By MoneyBets By Ticket
Jordan Spieth+220020%5%
Tiger Woods+140012%7%
Rickie Fowler+18006%6%
Rory McIlroy+7006%6%
Brooks Koepka+28006%5%

So … why is this a story?

Spieth is playing poorly in 2019. He’s arguably in the biggest slump of his young career.

Spieth has missed three cuts in his last 10 starts, and his best finish in a stroke play event this season came last week at the Texas Open (30th place). His World Golf Ranking is all the way down to No. 33.

He ranks 170th in the FedEx Cup standings this season, and his poor stats support his struggles on the course. Spieth is 212th in driving accuracy, hitting just 47% of fairways, and 175th in Greens in Regulation (63.89%). When entering the 2018 Masters, Spieth was top-10 in scrambling. But in 2019, Spieth is struggling around the greens, ranking 197th in scrambling from inside 10 yards (73.53%) and 113th from 10-20 yards (64.38%). His putting is holding him back again, especially from inside 10 feet.

Spieth’s biggest edges over the field have virtually vanished.

We’ve seen this from Spieth before

Spieth also entered the 2018 Masters in sub-par form, and his putting was off and flat like his game early in the season. He missed the cut in two of seven events and picked up his first top-eight finish when third at the Houston Open a week before the Masters.

Yet when he started his first round at Augusta, Spieth was quickly mastering the course again. For the third time in his career, Spieth was the first round leader at the Masters in 2018 after shooting a 66. He made five consecutive birdies on holes 13-17.

By Sunday, Spieth was nine strokes behind leader and ultimate Masters champion Patrick Reed. But he fired an incredible eight-under 64 to vault up the leaderboard and finish third at 13-under par.

Jordan Spieth is 39 under par in 20 rounds at the Masters over five years. That’s the best under par total and average score per round of all players in the 2019 field.

But Spieth will need to find his form quickly if he plans on contending on a course he’s been most dominant over the last five years.

Compare Spieth’s odds to win the 2019 Masters at some of the sportsbooks in New Jersey below.

The Masters Winner

Odds Updated 4/11

Rory McIllroy
Bet now
+700
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+650
Bet now
+750
Dustin Johnson
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+900
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+1100
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+1200
Justin Rose
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+1200
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+1200
Bet now
+1400
Tiger Woods
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+1400
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+1600
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+10000
Jon Rahm
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+1400
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+2000
Bet now
+1800
Justin Thomas
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+1600
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+2000
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+2000
Rickie Fowler
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+1600
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+2000
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+2200
Jason Day
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+2000
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+3300
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+3300
Jordan Spieth
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+2200
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+1600
Bet now
+2200
Francesco Molinari
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+2200
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+2200
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+2200
Paul Casey
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+2500
Bet now
+2800
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+3000
Tommy Fleetwood
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+2500
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+3000
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+3000
Brooks Koepka
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+2500
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+3000
Bet now
+2800
Hideki Matsuyama
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+2800
Bet now
+3300
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+3300
Bryson DeChambeau
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+3300
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+3000
Bet now
+3300
Tony Finau
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+3300
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+4000
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+5000
Matt Kuchar
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+3300
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+4500
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+5000
Sergio Garcia
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+3300
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+6000
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+5000
Bubba Watson
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+3500
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+3300
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+3300
Adam Scott
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+4000
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+4500
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+4000
Phil Mickelson
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+4000
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+3600
Bet now
+4000
Xander Schauffele
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+4000
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+4000
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+5000
Patrick Cantlay
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+4000
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+8000
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+8000
Marc Leishman
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+4500
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+4000
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+5000
Louis Oosthuizen
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+5000
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+4000
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+4500
Gary Woodland
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+5000
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+10000
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+8000
Webb Simpson
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+5000
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+7500
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+8000
Patrick Reed
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+6000
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+7000
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+6600
Henrik Stenson
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+6600
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+6000
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+6600
Kevin Kisner
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+6600
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+7000
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+6600
Ian Poulter
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+7000
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+12000
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+10000
Charley Hoffman
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+8000
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+10000
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+10000
Charles Howell
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+8000
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+17000
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+12500
Rafa Cabrera-Bello
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+8000
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+15000
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+10000
Cameron Smith
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+9000
Bet now
+12000
Bet now
+9000

Virginia (5-1) Early Favorite To Win 2020 NCAA Basketball Championship

Marc Meltzer April 9, 2019
Virginia 2020 Odds

Caesars Entertainment is the first sportsbook operator to release 2020 NCAA basketball championship futures odds. Caesars Sportsbook posted the college basketball futures first in Las Vegas shortly before tipoff of the 2019 NCAA Basketball championship game.

2020 NCAA futures odds

The Virginia Cavaliers were only a 1.5-point favorite to defeat the Texas Tech Red Raiders in this year’s NCAA Championship game. However, Virginia is listed at 5-1 to cut down the nets next season. Meanwhile, Texas Tech is 30-1 to win it all next year.

The other Final Four participants are in between the two finalists to win March Madness next year. The Auburn Tigers are 20-1 and Michigan State Spartans are 12-1 to win it all in 2020.

Hoops powerhouses Kentucky and Duke are 8-1, not far behind Virginia to win the college basketball national championship in 2020. Here are the rest of the futures odds posted by Caesars Entertainment for the 2020 college basketball title (with odds of 100/1 or lower).

TeamCaesars Odds2018-19 Record
Alabama75/118-16
Arizona25/123-11
Auburn 20/130-10
Cincinnati100/114-4
Connecticut100/116-17
Duke8/132-6
Florida75/120-16
Florida State50/129-8
Gonzaga10/133-4
Houston40/133-4
Indiana100/119-16
Iowa50/123-12
Iowa State60/123-12
Kansas30/126-10
Kentucky8/130-7
Louisville15/120-14
LSU50/128-7
Marquette40/124-10
Maryland50/123-11
Michigan20/130-7
Michigan State12/132-7
Mississippi State100/123-11
NC State100/124-12
North Carolina20/129-7
Ohio State75/120-15
Oklahoma100/120-14
Oregon30/125-13
Purdue100/126-10
Seton Hall100/120-14
Syracuse60/120-14
Tennessee25/131-6
Texas40/121-16
Texas A&M100/114-18
Texas Tech30/131-6
UCLA100/117-16
USC100/116-17
VCU100/125-8
Villanova15/126-10
Virginia5/134-3
Washington100/127-9
Xavier100/119-16

Nevada is noticeably absent

The University of Nevada is noticeably absent from the college basketball futures at Caesars. There’s a couple of logical reasons for this. The Wolfpack’s coach, Eric Musselman, just took a new head coaching job with Arkansas. Additionally, Caesars Manager of Trading, Matt Lindeman, tells TheLines that they’re also “decimated by graduation.”

Nevada residents can still get in on a hometown futures bet. The UNLV Runnin Rebels with their new coach, T.J. Otzelberger, are 1000-1 to the NCAA basketball championship next year.

As usual, the odds were released in other markets Caesars operates shortly after Las Vegas. Caesars operates casinos and sportsbooks in the following states:

Betting limits on NCAA basketball futures will vary by customer. Bettors interested in placing a large 2020 NCAA basketball futures wager should reach out to their local Caesars sportsbook to see how much they’ll be able to wager.

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