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January 30, 2019

Tom Brady, Jared Goff Are Heavy Betting Favorites To Win 2019 Super Bowl MVP

FairwayJay January 30, 2019
Super Bowl MVP

The matchup is set for the Big Game on Feb. 3.

The two starting quarterbacks, Tom Brady and Jared Goff, are the clear favorites to win the 2019 Super Bowl MVP award. The New England Patriots were quickly bet up to a 2.5-point favorite over the Los Angeles Rams and the total is a Super Bowl record-high 57 points as of Thursday.

A quarterback has won the MVP award 29 times in 52 Super Bowls, including seven times in the last nine years.

But before you award Brady the MVP, know that the team that is the underdog in the Super Bowl has won the game six times in the last seven years.

All eight Super Bowls involving QB Tom Brady and head coach Bill Belichick have been decided by one score. Brady has averaged 403 passing yards and a QB rating of 103.4 over his last three Super Bowl appearances. Jared Goff makes his first Super Bowl appearance in his third season at the Rams quarterback.

Super Bowl MVP Odds at New Jersey Sportsbooks

(Odds updated 1/31/19)

PlayerDraftKingsBetStarsFanDuel
QB Tom Brady (NE)+110-105+115
QB Jared Goff (LA)+200+200+190
RB Todd Gurley (LA)+1400+1600+1600
DT Aaron Donald (LA)+1400+1800+1600
RB Sony Michel (NE)+1600+1800+1600
RB CJ Anderson (LA)+2200+1600+3000
WR Julian Edelman (NE)+2800+4000+3500
RB James White (NE)+2800+2000+2500
WR Brandin Cooks (LA)+3300+4000+5000
TE Rob Gronkowski (NE)+4000+5000+5000
WR Robert Woods (LA)+4000+4000+5000
RB Rex Burkhead (NE)+6600+6000+8000
WR Josh Reynolds (LA)+6600+6000+10000
K Greg Zuerlein (LA)+8000+1000025000
DT Ndamukong Suh (LA)+8000+6000+7000
LB Dante Fowler (LA)+8000+6600+10000
LB Kyle Van Noy (NE)+10000+10000+10000
LB Dont'a Hightower (NE)+15000+15000+15000
FB James Develin (NE)+20000+10000+10000

Super Bowl MVP value?

The value in the 2019 Super Bowl LIII might be with the running backs or wide receivers. With a high-scoring game projected, the chances are better that those position players could have more yards and score multiple touchdowns.

See Patriots running back Sony Michel in the AFC Championship win when he rushed 29 times for 113 yards and two touchdowns. Michel also had 24 carries for 129 yards and three touchdowns against the Chargers in the divisional round. Those numbers would be tough to ignore as MVP in the Super Bowl.

James White had 15 receptions for 97 yards in New England’s win over the Chargers. That many touches and catches combined with two to three touchdowns — especially if he breaks a long screen pass for a touchdown — would position him for strong consideration as MVP.

In the Patriots’ 2017 Super Bowl overtime win over the Falcons 34-28, many people felt White should have won MVP.

Despite having 29 rushing yards and two touchdowns, plus 14 receptions for 110 yards and another TD, White failed to earn the MVP award. Brady passed for 466 yards playing from behind to steal the game and MVP honors. Still, the value is with the position players including the Rams running back combo or wide receivers.

For the Rams, a real comeback story is running back CJ Anderson, who was signed by the Rams off the street in December and promptly rushed for 167 and 132 yards in the final two regular season games scoring a touchdown each game. In the playoff game against Dallas, he added 123 rushing yards and two more touchdowns.

Last week against the Saints, Anderson had just 44 yards rushing, but that was against a much stronger run defense than the Patriots. Anderson could get a bulk of the rushing load if Todd Gurley is not fully healthy.

There seems to be something not quite right with Gurley after playing few than 50 percent of the snaps against the Saints in the NFC Championship. His knee inflammation is clearly acting up, and Gurley had a turnover and just four carries for 10 rushing yards against the Saints after returning to the lineup the previous playoff game against Dallas and rushing for 115 yards and one touchdown.

If the Rams score into the 30s, which is realistic, then either Robert Woods or Brandin Cooks have a solid shot to have big receiving games, providing MVP value much better than Goff. Woods is Goff’s favorite target and led the team in pass targets in both of the Rams playoff wins. Between 2005-09, three wide receivers won Super Bowl MVP honors.

Two of the past five Super Bowl MVPs have been defensive players, but both those players were on supremely dominant defensive teams when the winning teams shut down the opponent to 10 points or less. That’s very unlikely in the 2019 Super Bowl.

Bet on the Super Bowl MVP at these legal online sportsbooks in New Jersey

History of Super Bowl MVP winners (since 2000)

YearGameScoreMVP
2018Philadelphia vs New EnglandEagles 41-33QB Nick Foles (PHI)
2017New England vs AtlantaPatriots 34-28 QB Tom Brady (NE)
2016Denver vs CarolinaBroncos 24-10LB Von Miller (DEN)
2015New England vs SeattlePatriots 28-24QB Tom Brady (NE)
2014Seattle vs DenverSeahawks 43-8LB Malcolm Smith (SEA)
2013Baltimore vs San FranciscoRavens 34-31QB Joe Flacco (BAL)
2012NY Giants vs New EnglandGiants 17-14QB Eli Manning (NYG)
2011Green Bay vs PittsburghPackers 31-25QB Aaron Rodgers (GB)
2010New Orleans vs IndianapolisSaints 31-17QB Drew Brees (NO)
2009Pittsburgh vs ArizonaSteelers 27-23WR Santonio Holmes (PIT)
2008NY Giants vs New EnglandGiants 17-14QB Eli Manning (NYG)
2007Indianapolis vs ChicagoColts 29-17QB Peyton Manning (IND)
2006Pittsburgh vs SeattleSteelers 21-10WR Hines Ward (PIT)
2005New England vs PhiladelphiaPatriots 24-21WR Deion Branch (NE)
2004New England vs CarolinaPatriots 32-29QB Tom Brady (NE)
2003Tampa Bay vs OaklandBuccaneers 48-21S Dexter Jackson (TB)
2002New England vs St. LouisPatriots 20-17QB Tom Brady (NE)
2001Baltimore vs NY GiantsRavens 34-7LB Ray Lewis (BAL)
2000St. Louis vs TennesseeRams 23-16QB Kurt Warner (STL)

Oscars Betting Awarded To New Jersey Sportsbook Operators For 2019

Marc Meltzer January 30, 2019
Oscars 2019 Betting

Nevada sportsbooks have been longing to offer odds on non-sporting events for years. Last year, the Nevada Gaming Control Board took a small step forward allowing sportsbook operators to take bets on the Golden Tee World Championship that was held at the Orleans.

Well, New Jersey is taking non-sports betting to a new level in 2019. After receiving numerous requests, the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement will allow wagering on the 2019 Academy Awards.

Betting on the annual film awards is a one-time-only wagering opportunity for the time being. Due to potential integrity issues, the state is only offering pre-event betting on The Oscars can be offered for this year only.

The Academy Awards take place on February 24.

This is so new that sportsbooks in New Jersey haven’t opened betting on the Oscars yet. While we don’t have confirmation, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see DraftKings Sportsbook lead the way with Oscars wagering.

DraftKings director of operations, Johnny Avello, previously offered Oscars betting odds for “entertainment purposes only” while at Wynn Las Vegas. His experience producing odds for the Oscars goes back at least 10 years.

And the Oscar goes to…

Betting on the Oscars is traditionally something only offered for relatively low limits at offshore sportsbooks. This will be the first time US sportsbooks will be able to offer odds and take bets on a non-sports award show.

Details still haven’t been released for which categories New Jersey sportsbooks will offer odds. While there might not be odds on the best “Best Documentary Short Subject,” there will likely be odds for the most popular category. The 2019 Oscars’  “Best Picture” nominees are:

  • “Black Panther”
  • “BlacKkKlansman”
  • “Bohemian Rhapsody”
  • “The Favourite”
  • “Green Book”
  • “Roma”
  • “A Star Is Born”
  • “Vice”

Expect to hear more about this as New Jersey sportsbooks begin to open up betting for the 2019 Acadamy Awards.

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

DraftKings Sportsbook Giving Away More Than $50,000 In Free Super Bowl Squares Contest

Juan Carlos Blanco January 30, 2019
DraftKings Super Bowl squares

DraftKings Sportsbook is launching a Super Bowl squares contest? You bet. And you can play and win in any state, not just in New Jersey.

Over time, Super Bowl “squares” contests have become as much a workplace staple as office gossip and politics.

The game is simple in concept and adds a little extra intrigue to the sports calendar’s proverbial national holiday. Typically, an 8.5 x 11 sheet with multiple rows and columns form boxes that have numbers within them. There are a number of variations of the game that have been developed over time.

However, the usual trigger for a cash is the second digit of the score of each team at the end of each quarter matching those belonging to a square one owns.

Get $20 Of Free Play at DraftKings!

DraftKings Super Bowl Promo: Squares

For the upcoming 53rd edition of The Big Game, DraftKings Sportsbook is putting its own unique spin on the tried-and-true favorite of Super Bowl betting. The company’s aptly named Squares is free to play and feature a prize pool in excess of $50,000. There will be more cash added by DraftKings for every 100,000 entries in the contest.

And you don’t even have to be in New Jersey to play, according to DK, but it exists only on the Sportsbook app, not in the daily fantasy sports product.

Conventional versions of squares contests typically allow participants to gobble up multiple spots on the sheet. This ups an individual’s odds and increases the overall prize pool, potentially creating a demand for additional “sheets” in the process.

However, the trade-off to DK’s non-existent entry fee is that participants only get access to one square, which remains attached to that player for all quarters, including any overtime period (s).

The nuts and bolts of the contest are as follows:

  • Before the Super Bowl kicks off, a player selects a square on a blank digital “board” that emulates that of a traditional money-based squares contest.
  • Once the game begins, the numbers assigned to each square will be revealed.
  • If the final digit of both team’s score at the end of each quarter matches the numbers on the participant’s square, that participant wins a cash prize.
  • Each square on the board naturally can and will be selected by multiple users. Each user that selected a winning square will be awarded a matching, corresponding cash prize.

Another square product for the Super Bowl

The DraftKings Squares contest evokes some memories of a similar free-to-play game rolled out by primary competitor FanDuel for Super Bowl LII.

FD’s Big Game Bingo also had Super Bowl viewers paying rapt attention during the game to see if they’d score cash or prizes. However, that game was centered on props, both football and non-football related. It also featured other prizes besides direct cash payouts — gift cards for use at contest sponsor Game Stop and an XBox One Madden NFL 18 bundle were two such examples.

In contrast, DK ‘s contest focuses solely on football-based outcomes and cash. And as was the case with Big Game Bingo, there is no paid-entry version available for DraftKings Super Bowl Squares.