Daily Archives

October 11, 2018

NFL Look-Ahead Betting Lines And Market Moves For Week 6

FairwayJay October 11, 2018
NFL Look Ahead Week 6

Every Tuesday, the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas releases the NFL look-ahead lines for the following week’s games. These are anticipated betting lines on the following week’s games prior to the current week’s games being played.

The tendency of many bettors is to over (or under) react to games and events we saw most recently. That’s especially true on the nationally televised primetime games on Thursday, Sunday and Monday night.

Adjusting to market moves

While it’s essential to make adjustments in your handicapping and sports betting approach based on information such as impactful injuries, statistic profiles, player performance, and scheduling situations, it’s also important to understand a bookmaker’s approach to setting the lines and its understanding of how bettors react to recent results.

Most bettors will bet the favorites, and over the total. Yet in Week 3 many bettors were buried as underdogs went 11-5 against the spread (ATS). We’ve seen scoring rise this season through five weeks to nearly 48 points per game, and the linemaker has adjusted the posted totals upward accordingly every week.

Usually, there is not much difference in the NFL look ahead/advance line and the current line once the numbers are posted Sunday night and Monday morning. However, there are usually at least a few games where the line is 2-3 points difference between the look-ahead line and current line.

Week 6 look-ahead lines and major moves

For the Week 6 games on Sunday, Oct. 14, these are the games where there was at least a two-point difference from the look-ahead line and current line:

  • Chicago at Miami (-1) – Current Line Miami +3.5
  • Tampa Bay at Atlanta (-6) – Current Line Atlanta -3
  • Seattle vs Oakland (PK) in London – Current Line Seattle -3
  • Baltimore at Tennessee (+1) – Current Line Tennessee +3

Recent results, injuries and public perception and have impacted these four games more than others from an adjusted line standpoint. Both the Bears and Bucs enter off a bye, and Miami lost badly at New England two weeks ago and then blew a 17-0 lead last week at Cincinnati in a 27-17 defeat that left Dolphins bettors bitter. Fewer bettors are lining up on Miami now.

Atlanta is battling through numerous player injuries especially on defense. Oakland continues to struggle, and bettors want no part of the Raiders right now while Seattle hung tough with the LA Rams last week, but a letdown could be looming and both teams defenses have been deficient. Tennessee lost at Buffalo last week, costing many bettors money both straight up and in teasers. The Ravens also cost bettors in an OT loss at Cleveland, but this too is an overreaction in the line.

The NFL is difficult for most bettors to beat when betting, yet there is certainly no lack of excitement or drama when it comes to deciding which teams win and lose each week, or the point spread outcome. That’s part of the reason why the NFL is so popular, as so many games are decided late in the contest with the point spread result in the balance. In Week 4 alone, nine of the 15 games went down to the final possession, and three games went to overtime on Sunday.

As you watch and evaluate the games, injuries, key game-changing calls and go inside the numbers in boxscores and stats, try your best not to overreact to the scores and a recent result or two. By looking ahead to the point spread posted in advance by the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas, you can stay more grounded and understand the linemakers approach and thoughts on a game and betting line more than a week in advance of the contests.

NFL Week 7 look-ahead betting lines

  • Denver (-2.5) at Arizona – Thursday Night
  • Tennessee vs LA Chargers (-3) – London
  • New England (-3) at Chicago
  • Cleveland at Tampa Bay (-1.5)
  • Detroit (-2) at Miami
  • Carolina at Philadelphia (-3)
  • Buffalo at Indianapolis (-5.5)
  • Cincinnati at Kansas City (-6.5)
  • Minnesota (-4) at NY Jets
  • Houston at Jacksonville (N/A)
  • New Orleans at Baltimore (PK)
  • Dallas at Washington (-3)
  • LA Rams (-12.5) at San Francisco – Sunday Night
  • NY Giants at Atlanta (-3.5) – Monday Night

ALSO READ:  NFL Week 6 Lines And NJ Betting Guide

The Future Of US Sports Betting Technology Is Being Showcased In Las Vegas

Marc Meltzer October 11, 2018
US Sports betting technology

The Global Gaming Expo (G2E) is an annual gathering of gaming manufacturers and casino employees. There are thousands of people from casino companies looking at new games for their properties. At the same time, there are hundreds of companies shilling their products to be placed in those casinos.

Altogether, G2E is casino porn for the average gambler. This year there has been one main theme at the expo and seminars at the expo. Sports betting are the two words being discussed more than anything. There are way more sports betting products than ever before at G2E.

Not only are there more sports betting products on display, but they’re actually in casinos and will be in more casinos. This is a far cry from previous G2E shows where there was just a handful of sports betting exhibitors showing products from Europe that haven’t been regulated in America.

Casino sportsbooks are changing

Sportsbooks evolving in casinos isn’t a new topic. The evolution shown at G2E fits the physical change to the sportsbook experience we’ve been seeing. Sports betting tech is real and it’s fantastic. More importantly, the technological advances from overseas are finally in US casinos.

The sports betting kiosks that punters from overseas have been using for years are now available to American casinos. Bettors can find SB Tech betting kiosks at the Golden Nugget in Mississippi and New Jersey and other casinos in both states.

Younger bettors in the US have been waiting for the day where they can place bets in the sportsbook without dealing with other humans. The lines for a kiosk tend to be shorter since older gamblers still prefer dealing with a person.

Later this year or early next year, IGT will have their PlayShot sports betting kiosks in casinos in both states as well. They work with MGM Resorts and FanDuel so there are potentially a plethora of properties where you can place your wagers without dealing with a human.

Just about every tech company operating in the US has a sports betting kiosk available should they find a partner. SB Tech and IGT have those partners and will make the sportsbook experience in their casino just a little better for some gamblers.

The IGT kiosks are more casino oriented than other manufacturers. Their PlayShot kiosks have an area where a gambler might be able to use a mobile players club card if available. IGT’s Cardless Connect technology is awesome but isn’t available at all casinos just yet.

In-play in casinos

IGT debuted the CrystalBetting Terminal at G2E. This betting station looks similar to CG Technology betting stations but is made especially for in-play sports betting while watching a game.

Each station allows bettors to customize their screen to show specific games they prefer to watch. The screen also shows in-play odds, and wagers can be placed directly on the screen. Bettors can even play the audio from the game they’re watching instead so they’re not stuck with whatever the sportsbook deems the important game.

Unlike most mobile apps, a bettor can populate the CrystalBetting Terminal with the amount they want to wager. For example, bettors who only want to make $20 wagers throughout the game just have to enter the information once instead of each bet. This speed will make placing a wager quicker for fast-paced sports like football.

The CrystalBetting Terminal still has to undergo a field trial before it’s in casinos. The tech here is great for bettors that love in-play action but are frustrated with current mobile apps.

The American in-play problem

In-play wagering may be very popular in Europe but it’s still just catching on in America. There are multiple reasons for this. Most bettors in the US have grown up only wagering on games before they start. It will take some time to grasp this “new” way to bet.

One of the biggest issues with in-play wagering in the United States is because of the technology. Mobile betting in Nevada is still less than 10 years old. Many of the older app platforms are too slow for in-play wagering. Trying to get down a wager during a football game can be very frustrating.

Some of the European apps in other states are better but overall, the tech in the US is still a bit behind other countries. Between newer and better mobile apps and betting stations like the CrystalBetting Terminal American sports bettors could well be on the way to joining the rest of the world with in-play wagering. Just be patient.