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April 5, 2018

William Hill’s NFL Draft Props Arrived 25 Years Too Late

Chops April 5, 2018
NFL Draft

William Hill US is offering NFL draft props for the second straight year.

It’s a brilliant idea.

Why wasn’t this done sooner? Anything that can make hours of Roger Goodell’s monotone, robotic and laconic delivery more exciting is a major positive.

Good bets

As a UGA grad and major SEC snob, seeing specific props on the DAWGS’ running backs was encouraging:

Player to be drafted first:

  • Sony Michel (+110)
  • Nick Chubb (-130)

While Michel had a stronger senior year, take Chubb there. He’s going early second round. Michel seems like a Patriots style second-round pick as well.

Also, the line on Alabama players drafted in the first round is on point:

Number of Alabama players selected in Round 1:

  • Over 4 (-110)
  • Under 4 (-110)

General rule of thumb: always take the Over on QBs and Alabama players drafted in Round 1.

Unfortunately, there are no odds on how much of a bust Josh Allen will be. Set the line at “Historic Bust.” While some team like the Bills will draft him 7 rounds higher than they should, his advanced stats suggest he’ll be a Ryan Leaf-er (and Baker Mayfield is almost a sure-fire success).

What could’ve been…

Speaking of Ryan Leaf, The Lines would be remiss not to mention the fun we could’ve had if William Hill offered NFL draft props years ago. Who goes first: Manning or Leaf. How high will Laremy Tunsil be before the draft? Over/under on SEC first-round draft picks 28.5 (basically every year).

Let’s hope the draft props trend continues through the NBA draft in June.