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Sunday evening’s AFC Divisional Round matchup is an intriguing contest between the number two seed New England Patriots and the number five seed Houston Texans. New England will go into the game as three point favorites, following a fantastic regular season campaign that saw them win their first AFC East title since 2019. They then followed up by comfortably beating the Chargers on Wild Card weekend; however, this Sunday’s clash with the Texans looks like a far tougher test for Drake Maye and co.

Houston’s path to the Divisional Round has been far trickier after they opened the season 0-3. Thanks to a suffocating defence and some inspired leadership from HC DeMeco Ryans, the Texans stormed through the second half of the season to secure a wild card spot. After thrashing the Steelers 30-6 in the first round of the playoffs, Houston will travel to Foxborough confident of causing an upset.

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Texans @ Patriots: Our Same Game Parlay Pick

The Patriots have been on fire in recent weeks, but we think their fairytale season will come to a juddering halt on Sunday. Simply put, the Texans' defense is THE single best unit in the entire NFL. They completely overwhelmed Aaron Rodgers last week and have made life virtually impossible for opposition QBs all season.

On the other side of the ball, the Houston offense had a bit of a stinker on Wild Card weekend, but such is the strength of their D that it didn’t matter a jot. This seems certain to be close, but we are taking the Texans to prevail in a brutal, low-scoring contest.

Our pick: Texans to win and under 41 points: +310